Dynamical Generalizations of the Drake Equation: The Linear and Non-linear Theories

Author: Panov, Alexander
Almanac: History & Mathematics:Economy, Demography, Culture, and Cosmic Civilizations


The Drake equation pertains to the essentially equilibrium situation in a population of communicative civilizations of the Galaxy, but it does not describe dynamical processes which can occur in it. Both linear and non-linear dynamical population analyses are built out and discussed instead of the Drake equation.

Keywords: SETI, the Drake equation, linear population analysis, non-linear population analysis.