Grinin, Leonid
Last name: Grinin
Name: Leonid
Leonid E. Grinin, PhD, is a Russian philosopher of history, sociologist, political anthropologist, economist, and a scholar of historical trends and future studies. He is Senior Research Professor at the Institute for Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow and Leading Research Fellow of the Laboratory for Destabilization Risk Monitoring of the National Research University Higher School of Economics. Grinin is Deputy Director of the Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting (Russian Academy of Sciences). He is also is Research Professor and Director of the Volgograd Center for Social Research. He is Editor-in-Chief of the international journals Social Evolution & History and the Journal of Globalization Studies, as well as co-editor of the international almanacs Evolution, History and Mathematics, and Kondratieff Waves.
Grinin`s academic interests lie in the sphere of social laws, social evolution, driving forces of historical development, the theory of historical process and its periodization and certain aspects (the productive and political ones), evolution of statehood.
Grinin`s academic research in the field of Global Studies, futurology and Big History is connected with the analysis of modern problem of globalization and modernization, forecasts of the world political and social-economic development, current global crisis, economic cycles of different duration and their modeling, information-scientific revolution and its influence on global processes, history of globalization and periodization of global process analysis of global trends in historical processes, comparison of global processes in nature and society. Together with Alexander Markov and Andrey Korotayev, he studies regularities common to biological and social macroevolution.
Dr. Grinin is the author of more than 470 scholarly publications in Russian, English and Chinese including 30 monographs. These monographs include Philosophy, Sociology, and the Theory of History (4th ed. Volgograd: Uchitel, 2007, in Russian); Productive Forces and Historical Process (3rd ed. Мoscow: KomKniga, 2006, in Russian); State and Historical Process (3 vols. 2nd ed. Moscow: KomKniga, 2009–2010, in Russian); Social Macroevolution: World System Transformations (Moscow: LIBROKOM, 2009, in Russian; with Andrey Korotayev); Macroevolution in Biological and Social Systems (Мoscow: LKI/URSS, 2008, in Russian; with Alexander V. Markov and Andrey V. Korotayev); Global Crisis in Retrospective: A Brief History of Upswings and Crises (Moscow: LIBROKOM, 2010, in Russian; with Andrey Korotayev); The Evolution of Statehood: From Early State to Global Society (Saarbrücken: Lambert Academic Publishing, 2011). The latest monographs are: From Confucius to Comte: The Formation of the Theory, Methodology and Philosophy of History (2012, in Russian); Macrohistory and Globalization (2012); Cycles, Crises, and Traps of the Modern World-System (2012, in Russian, with Andrey Korotayev), The Big History of Development of the World: Cosmic Evolution (2014; in Russian), Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective (2015; with Andrey Korotayev), The Cybernetic Revolution and the Forthcoming Epoch of Self-Regulating Systems (2016; with Anton Grinin), Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery (2016; with Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch)
In 2012 Leonid E. Grinin was awarded with the Gold Kondratieff Medal by the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation.
E-mail: lgrinin@mail.ru
ResearcherID: D-8842-2012
ORCID ID: 0000-0003-0278-2619
Scopus ID: 24331544600
- Other materials
- Scientific works in English
- Scientific works in Russian
- Personal page in Russian
- Follow me on Wikipedia.org
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Monographs:
- 1997–2001. Formations and Civilizations. In journal “Philosophy and Society”. (in Russian).
- 2006. Philosophy, Sociology and Theory of History. The fourth ed. Moscow: KomKniga (in Russian) (1st ed. 1995–1996; 2nd – 1999; 3rd – 2003)
- 2006. The Productive Forces and Historical Process. The third ed. (in Russian, summary in English) (1st ed. 2000; 2nd – 2003).
- 2006. The Philosophy of History: Problems and Prospects. Moscow: KomKniga. (in Russian, in cooperation Y. Semenov and I.Gobozov)
- 2007. The State and Historical Process: The State Formation Period. Moscow: KomKniga. (in Russian)
- 2007. The State and Historical Process: From an Early to a Mature State. Moscow: KomKniga. (in Russian)
- 2007. The State and Historical Process: The Political Cut of the Historical Process. Moscow: KomKniga. (in Russian)
- 2008. Macroevolution in Wild-life and Society. (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian)
- 2009. Social Macroevolution. Genesis and Transformations of the World-System. (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian)
- 2010. The State and Historical Process: The evolution of Statehood. From an Early to a Mature State. 2nd ed. Moscow: LIBROCOM. (in Russian)
- 2010. The State and Historical Process: The Political Cut of the Historical Process. 2nd ed. Moscow: LIBROCOM (in Russian)
- 2010. Global Crisis in Retrospective: A Brief History of Upswings and Crises (Moscow: LIBROKOM, in Russian; with Andrey Korotayev))
- 2011. The State and Historical Process: The State Formation Period. 2nd ed. Moscow: LIBROCOM (in Russian))
- 2011. The Evolution of Statehood. From Early State to Global Society. Saarbrücken: Lambert Academic Publishing. )
- 2011. The Cycles of Development of Modern World-Sytem Moscow: LIBROKOM, in Russian; with Andrey Korotayev and Sergey Tsirel) )
- 2012. From Confucius to Comte: The Formation of the Theory, Methodology and Philosophy of History (in Russian)
- 2012. Macrohistory and Globalization
- 2013. The Big History of the Evolution of World: Space Evolution.. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House.
- 2015. Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective Delhi: Primus Books
- 2016 The Cybernetic Revolution and the Forthcoming Epoch of Self-Regulating Systems Moscow: Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House
- 2016 Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery Springer, 2016.
- 2017. Destabilization: The Global, National, Natural Factors and Mechanisms. Moscow: Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House (in Russian; in co-authorship with Andrey Korotayev, Leonid Issaev, Stanislav Bilyuga, et al.
- 2017. Historical Globalistics. Volume 2. The 19th Century. Moscow: Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House (in Russian; in co-authorship with Julia Zinkina, Ilya Ilyin, Alexei Andreev, Ivan Aleshkovski, Andrey Korotaye
- 2017. The Big History of the Evolution of World: History and Evolution of the Solar System. Moscow: Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House (in Russian).
- 2019. Islamism and its Role in Modern Muslim Society. Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House (in Russian; in co-authorship with Andrey Korotayev).
- 2019. Politogenesis and historical Dynamics of Political Institutions: From Local Potestarity to the Global World System. Collective monograph. Moscow: Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House (in Russian)
- 2020. The Big History of the Evolution of World: The Solar System Planets. Their history and evolution. Chemical Evolution. Moscow: Moscow branch of Uchitel Publishing House (in Russian)
Edited volumes:
- 2004. The Early State, its Alternatives and Analogues (co-editor and co-author) (in English). Volgograd: Uchitel.
- 2006. The Early State, its Alternatives and Analogues (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian). Volgograd: Uchitel.
- 2008. Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Ancient and Medieval Cultures. (co-editor and co-author) (in English)
- 2008. Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Political Aspects of Modernity. (co-editor and co-author) (in English)
- 2009. Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Cultural Dimensions. (co-editor and co-author) (in English)
- 2009. Evolution: Cosmic, Biological, Social. Issue 1. Moscow: Publishing House «Librocom». (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian)
- 2010. Evolution: Problems and Prospects. Issue 2. (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian)
- 2011. Evolution: Cosmic, Biological, and Social. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House.
- 2011. Evolution: A Big History Perspective. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2011. Evolution. Issue 3. (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian)
- 2012. Evolution. Aspects of the Modern Evolutionism. (co-editor and co-author) (in Russian)
- 2012. Globalistics and Globalization Studies (co-editor and co-author)
- 2012. Kondratieff Waves. Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century
- 2012. Kondratieff Waves: Aspects and Prospects: Yearbook (in Russian)
- 2012. Universal and Global History (Evolution of the Universe, the Earth, Life and Society). Reading-Book, Yearbook. (In Russian)
- 2013. Globalization: Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow
- 2013. Kondratieff Waves. The Diversity of Views. (In Russian)
- 2013. Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Theories, Research & Teaching
- 2013. Evolution of Earth, Life, Society and Mind (In Russian)
- 2013. Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms.
- 2014. Where is the Age of Globalization Moving to? (In Russian)
- 2014. Theory and Methodology of History: College Textbook (IN Russian)
- 2014. Kondratieff Waves: Long and Medium-Term Cycles: Yearbook (In Russian)
- 2014. Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Aspects & Dimensions of Global Views
- 2014. Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring a New Scholarly Field
- 2014. History and Mathematics: Aspects of Demographic and Social-Economic Processes (In Russian)
- 2014. History & Mathematics: Trends and Cycles
- 2014. Kondratieff waves: Juglar – Kuznets – Kondratieff Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2015. This Globalizing Word Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2015. From Big Bang to Galactic Civilizations: A Big History Anthology
- 2015. History & Mathematics: Political Demography & Global Ageing. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2015. Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2015. Globalistics and globalization studies Big history & global history Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2016. Education and Understanding: Big History Around the World From Big bang to Galactic Civilizations: A Big History Anthology, Vol IIPublisher: Primus Books
- 2016. Kondratieff waves: Cycles, Crises, and Forecasts Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
- 2016. Globalistics and globalization studies Global Transformations and Global Future. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House
Author's Articles
Journal:-
Bondarenko, Dmitri M.; Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Alternative Pathways of Social Evolution // Social Evolution & History. Volume 1, Number 1 / March 2002 -
Grinin, Anton L. ; Grinin, Leonid
Analyzing the Global Problems of the Twenty-First Century. A Review and Forecast Based on the Report to the Club of Rome ‘Come On!’ // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 12, Number 2 / November 2021 -
Grinin, Leonid; Markov, Alexander V.; Korotayev, Andrey
Aromorphoses in Biological and Social Evolution: Some General Rules for Biological and Social Forms of Macroevolution // Social Evolution & History. Volume 8, Number 2 / September 2009 -
Grinin, Leonid
Celebrities as a New Elite of Information Society // Social Evolution & History. Volume 11, Number 1 / March 2012 -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Chiefdoms and Their Analogues: Alternatives of Social Evolution at the Societal Level of Medium Cultural Complexity // Social Evolution & History. Volume 10, Number 1 / March 2011 -
Grinin, Leonid
Chinese Joker in the World Pack // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 2, Number 2 / November 2011 -
Grinin, Leonid
Complex Chiefdom: Precursor of the State or Its Analogue? // Social Evolution & History. Volume 10, Number 1 / March 2011 -
Grinin, Leonid
Democracy and Early State // Social Evolution & History. Volume 3, Number 2 / September 2004 -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Demographic Transformations in the Historical Process in the Light of Technological Development: Theoretical Approach // Social Evolution & History. Volume 22, Number 2 / September 2023 -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L. ; Korotayev, Andrey
Demographic Transformations in the Light of Technological Development: Types of Demographic Reproduction in the Past and in the Future // Social Evolution & History. Volume 22, Number 2 / September 2023 -
Grinin, Leonid
Early State, Developed State, Mature State: The Statehood Evolutionary Sequence // Social Evolution & History. Volume 7, Number 1 / March 2008 -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Emergence of Chiefdoms and States: A Spectrum of Opinions // Social Evolution & History. Volume 11, Number 2 / September 2012 -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 7, Number 2 / November 2016 -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Global Technological Perspectives in the Light of Cybernetic Revolution and Theory of Long Cycles // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 6, Number 2 / November 2015 -
Grinin, Leonid
Henri Claessen as a Passionate and Genuine Scholar // Social Evolution & History. Volume 21, Number 2 / September 2022 -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Historical Materialism: Does the Concept Have a Future? // Social Evolution & History. Volume 22, Number 1 / March 2023 -
Grinin, Leonid; Malkov, Sergey; Korotayev, Andrey
Hoping for the Future. A Russian Report to the Club of Rome // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 14, Number 1 / May 2023 -
Grinin, Leonid
How Can COVID-19 Change Geopolitics and Economy? // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 11, Number 2 / November 2020 -
Grinin, Leonid
Islamism and Globalization // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 10, Number 2 / November 2019 -
Korotayev, Andrey; Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: A Description // Social Evolution & History. Volume 20, Number 2 / September 2021 -
Korotayev, Andrey; Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: An Analysis // Social Evolution & History. Volume 21, Number 1 / March 2022 -
Grinin, Leonid
New Foundations of International System or Why do States Lose Their Sovereignty in the Age of Globalization? // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 3, Number 1 / May 2012 -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Origins of Globalization in the Framework of the Afroeurasian World-System History // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 5, Number 1 / May 2014 -
Grinin, Leonid
Production Revolutions and Periodization of History: A Comparative and Theoretic-mathematical Approach // Social Evolution & History. Volume 6, Number 2 / September 2007 -
Grinin, Leonid
Revolutions and Historical Process // Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 9, Number 2 / November 2018 -
Grinin, Leonid
Revolutions and Historical Process // Social Evolution & History. Volume 18, Number 2 / September 2019 -
Grinin, Leonid
Revolutions: An Insight into a Five Centuries' Trend // Social Evolution & History. Volume 17, Number 2 / September 2018 -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Social Evolution as an Integral Part of Universal Evolution // Social Evolution & History. Volume 19, Number 2 / September 2020 -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Social Evolution: Theoretical Aspects and General Outlines // Social Evolution & History. Volume 22, Number 2 / September 2023 -
Grinin, Leonid
State and Socio-Political Crises in the Process of Modernization // Social Evolution & History. Volume 12, Number 2 / September 2013
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Grinin, Leonid
A Brief History of the Early Solar System // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Global Evolution, Historical Globalistics and Globalization Studies -
Korotayev, Andrey; Grinin, Leonid
A Mathematical Model of Influence of the Interaction between Civilization Center and Barbarian Periphery on the World System Development // History & Mathematics: Big History Aspects -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey; Malkov, Sergey
A Mathematical Model of Juglar Cycles and the Current Global Crisis // History & Mathematics: Processes and Models of Global Dynamics -
Korotayev, Andrey; Malkov, Sergey; Grinin, Leonid
A Trap at the Escape from the Trap? Some Demographic Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modernizing Social Systems // History & Mathematics: Trends and Cycles -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Alternatives of Social Evolution at the Societal Level of Medium Complexity: Chiefdoms and Their Analogues // Evolution: Trajectories of Social Evolution -
Grinin, Anton L. ; Grinin, Leonid
Are We on the Threshold of Cyborgization? // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Current and Future Trends in the Big History Perspective -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey; Baker, David
Beyond Global Studies. An Introductory Lecture into a Big History Course // Evolution: Evolutionary Aspects: Stars, Primates, and Religion -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey; Baker, David
Beyond Global Studies. The Introductory Lecture to Big History Course // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Aspects & Dimensions of Global Views -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Big History and the Cybernetic Revolution: The Technological Dimension // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Current and Future Trends in the Big History Perspective -
Grinin, Leonid; Markov, Alexander V.; Korotayev, Andrey
Biological and Social Aromorphoses: A Comparison between Two Forms of Macroevolution // Evolution: Cosmic, Biological, and Social -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey; Markov, Alexander V.
Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Diversities of Evolution Principles and Mechanisms // Evolution: A Big History Perspective -
Grinin, Leonid
Chemical Evolution in Big History // Evolution: Complexity in Nature, Society, and Cognition -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Chiefdoms: Beyond Time // Evolution: Complexity in Nature, Society, and Cognition -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Chiefdoms: From Archaic Polities to Modern Terrorist Organizations // Evolution: Evolutionary Trends, Aspects, and Patterns -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Chiefdoms: Yesterday and Today // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Globalization Studies and Evolutionary Trends -
Grinin, Leonid
Complex Chiefdoms vs Early States: The Evolutionary Perspective // Evolution: Trajectories of Social Evolution -
Grinin, Leonid
Cosmic Evolution and Universal Evolutionary Principles // Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots -
Grinin, Anton L. ; Grinin, Leonid
Cybernetic Revolution and Forthcoming Technological Transformations (The Development of the Leading Technologies in the Light of the Theory of Production Revolutions) // Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots -
Grinin, Anton L. ; Grinin, Leonid
Cyborgization: To Be or not to Be? // Evolution: Trajectories of Social Evolution -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L. ; Korotayev, Andrey
Does Covid-19 Accelerate the Cybernetic Revolution and Transition from E-Government to E-State? // Kondratieff waves: Processes, Cycles, Triggers, and Technological Paradigms -
Grinin, Leonid
Evolution of the Early Solar System in Terms of Big History and Global Evolution // Evolution: Evolutionary Trends, Aspects, and Patterns -
Grinin, Leonid
Evolution of World Order // Evolution: Evolution and Big History: Dimensions, Trends, and Forecasts -
Grinin, Leonid; Ilyin, Ilya V.; Andreev, Alexey I.
Global History and Future World Order // Globalistics and globalization studies Global Transformations and Global Future. -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System // History & Mathematics: Political Demography & Global Ageing. -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System // Globalistics and globalization studies Global Transformations and Global Future. -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System // Evolution: Evolution and Big History: Dimensions, Trends, and Forecasts -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Global Technological Perspectives in the Light of Cybernetic Revolution and Theory of Long Cycles // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Globalization Studies and Evolutionary Trends -
Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.
Global Technological Transformations // Globalistics and Globalization Studies Theories, Research & Teaching -
Korotayev, Andrey; Grinin, Leonid
Global Urbanization and Political Development of the World System // Globalistics and Globalization Studies -
Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
Globalization and the World System Evolution // Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms
List of Authors